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Lecce

Serie A · forecast 18th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1568 · title — · top 4 — · relegation 46.8% · expected points 38 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1468–1628 · 540 rating periods · source: ClubElo

Next up

2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

L. Banda

Attacker · #19 · 24y

F. Camarda

Attacker · #22 · 17y

W. Cheddira

Attacker · #99 · 27y

L. Coulibaly

Midfielder · #29 · 29y

O. Gandelman

Midfielder · #16 · 25y

Daniele Bleve

Goalkeeper · #95 · 17y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Inter	1888.6	10.5%	21.7%	5.0%	0.71–2.07
Roma	1793.5	17.8%	25.5%	10.3%	0.95–1.83
Napoli	1780.3	19.0%	25.9%	11.2%	0.98–1.80
Juventus	1772.3	19.7%	26.1%	11.8%	1.00–1.78
Atalanta	1763.5	20.5%	26.4%	12.4%	1.02–1.76
Como	1760	20.8%	26.5%	12.7%	1.03–1.75
Milan	1750	21.7%	26.7%	13.4%	1.06–1.72
Lazio	1703.2	26.4%	27.8%	17.2%	1.17–1.61
Bologna	1701.3	26.6%	27.8%	17.3%	1.18–1.60
Fiorentina	1670.2	29.8%	28.2%	20.1%	1.26–1.52
Udinese	1645.9	32.5%	28.4%	22.4%	1.32–1.46
Torino	1624.1	34.9%	28.5%	24.5%	1.37–1.41
Sassuolo	1622	35.2%	28.5%	24.7%	1.38–1.40
Genoa	1618.2	35.6%	28.5%	25.1%	1.39–1.39
Parma	1599.9	37.7%	28.5%	27.0%	1.43–1.35
Venezia	1598.8	37.8%	28.5%	27.1%	1.44–1.35
Cagliari	1594.3	38.3%	28.4%	27.5%	1.45–1.33
Frosinone	1564.7	41.8%	28.2%	30.7%	1.52–1.26
Monza	1544	44.2%	28.0%	33.0%	1.57–1.21

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →